But this is the minimum they need. Read: Save $1,000 a year and retire with millions I can’t imagine someone saying $40,000 in a couple of decades is enough to retire on. What will a typical day look like for them in retirement? Sit down with a professional, make sure they consider as many variables as possible, and design a plan. He has a net worth of about $2.8 million, although a third of that is his $1-million house and another $75,000 is in antiques. NerdWallet, using a 6% average annual return and a retirement … For example, if you need to save $1.9 million (that’s around $2 million) for your retirement, you need to have $47,500 every year going into your retirement account if you get started at age 25 and retire at age 65. I’m amazed how many people will have multiple 401(k) investment accounts spread out amongst five, six, seven, or eight different institutions, but never look at it under one microscope. They have $2 million saved and think they are probably ready, but want to be as certain as they can be. After the first years of traveling and doing things that they've been waiting to do in retirement the bell curve starts to decline and their spending decreases. 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As soon as possible, for sure. . No reasoning, no questioning, just doubling of the retirement amount, and everything will be A OK. But… is $2 million enough to retire? So when a hopeful retiree approaches me with a nest egg worth $2 million and wants to know if they’ll be able to successfully retire, there isn’t a clear-cut answer as many would think. Take my poll at the end of this post. Author and personal-finance guru Suze Orman ruffled a lot of feathers in a recent podcast, saying that people need $5 million — maybe even $10 million — in order to retire. Lastly, I like to look at the first two ideas in any retirement analysis and combine it with Monte Carlo analysis, which I discuss in more detail here. ... they say it's enough to mean they will never need to work another day in their lives. While most Quorans try and help, some may be malicious and purposely give bad input. Even without a job, Fischer’s life is pleasant. You can work extra years to earn that extra million or risk it and try for $2 million. Let's consider a hypothetical couple that is 60 years old and hoping to retire, like, yesterday. While this case study focuses on soon-to-be retirees, this should also be an important lesson for any Gen X’er or Gen Y’er wanting to retire one day. I, for one, am always careful when suggesting future performance of a fund. I am a certified financial planner, author, blogger, and Iraqi combat veteran. You’ve worked at least 18 years and have given your investments a good enough amount of time to compound. Age 30: At 30, you’ll need to save 16%. WealthTrace Financial & Retirement Planner, If you don't watch your spending, $2 million might not be enough for retirement. In this blog piece we use the. She warned that retiring would be a massive mistake. As they spend more money, that leaves less and less to grow the compounded rate of return over time. Consider this, too: Just because a certain investment performed a certain way for a certain number of years, that doesn't mean the investment will perform similarly in the future. Inflation has changed the meaning of $2 million, interest rates are historically low, and the social security trust fund is projected to run out of money by 2033. Can you retire with $2 million? Can the Petersons have a comfortable retirement with $2 million? Your review has been submitted successfully, You typed the code incorrectly. I have no debt and approximately $2-million in financial assets. A Spending Problem. I would take it a step further and say that even at $115,000 per year, they're doing pretty well with an 86% chance of never running out of money. Read:Save $1,000 a year and retire with millions. Two and a half million dollars is a lot more than most families have been able to save. That just seems sad. It mostly depends on spending in retirement. That’s almost a 50-year career. They currently owe $155,033 on their mortgage, Joseph owes $15,000 on his truck loan, and Debra owes $20,035 on her car loan. Let’s say you decide you’ll need $1 million to retire at age 55. Travel, dining out, all the things, are more realistic here. In our case study, we can say that this couple will indeed be completely fine with $2 million if they spend $85,000 per year in retirement. Alberta couple’s dream of spending half the year in Mexico can work, thanks to $1.2-million … Retiring at 40: 40 is the earliest I’d recommend anybody retire. Trish has retired from a local government unit. First, when Joseph retires he plans to spend $25,000 to buy a new car for his son Matt, and then two years later $25,000 to buy a new car for his daughter Morgan, and then four years from now $25,000 to buy a car for Samantha. You'll need at least $5 million, more likely $10 million, says famous financial personality Suze Orman.I should know. The more you know, the less you need. Age 25: If you begin saving at age 25, you can reach your goal by saving 11% of your pay. All Rights Reserved, This is a BETA experience. money. It is important to make sure that your retirement income covers your expenses. If your lifestyle means that you need far more than that, $2 million is not enough. The question is, is this an arbitrary figure dreamed up by bureaucrats or is it enough for a dream retirement? ... That cool million could grow to more than $2.5 million by the time you hit 65 if you keep your hands off your nest egg until then. Accumulating $1,000,000 in after-tax investments sounds great if you’ve been diligently saving and investing since you entered the workforce, but it’s only going to spit out about $40,000 a year in gross income. We ran this couple's retirement plan in the WealthTrace Financial & Retirement Planner. Thankfully, there are a number of tools available that can help financial advisors give the best possible advice to their clients. “$1 million isn’t enough to retire, so I think I need $2 million!” Yup, that’s about as deep as it goes. I escaped a path of financial destruction by being a college drop out and having over $20,000 of credit card debt to eventually become a self-made millionaire. That’s what Blueleaf offers. Don’t have $2 million? Most likely, yes. There are many factors that go into the equation such as: Published 5:46 PM, Saturday October 26 2019 GMT+1. That's why when I sit down with clients I remind them that even though there may be a high degree of certainty of this or that outcome, there is still a possibility that a different outcome may come to pass. Please enable Javascript and refresh the page to continue What exactly does this 90% number represent? Livingston says she quit the workforce last year with $2.25 million after working in finance for only 7 years. What do they think will keep them the most busy? Please try again. And a 32-year-old millennial planning to retire at 67 with $1 million in savings will actually be below the poverty line. Nuts. Let's say you have a family of five, and you think $2 million will probably be enough to retire on, but feel really confident that $3 million will definitely be enough. I have to say I’m in agreement with Harold Hall and you shouldn’t do planning on Quora. $50,000 is also solution. You'll need at least $5 million, more likely $10 million, says famous financial personality Suze Orman.I should know. Option 1: Semi-Retire at Age 55. Here are some other assumptions we used: So what would it take to break their plan? This is the power of compounding at work. Essentially, this is what we are trying to determine with their current plan and investment strategy: Based on the risk tolerance and their income needs, we determined that Joseph and Debra needed roughly 60% of their investments in stocks and 40% in bonds for the first 10 years of retirement. Use a free trial of WealthTrace to find out more. It's interesting to see how their chances of never running out of money declines at an accelerated rate once they start spending more than $105,000 per year. I think the 70% rule is a fairly liberal estimate of retirement income needs (barring exceptional circumstances). I ran a couple of scenarios, and in this couple's case a 25% reduction in social security doesn't hurt them very much if they only spend $85,000 per year. For example, to cover the same $66,000 in expenses 25 years from now, you’ll need to have more than $2 million, thanks to inflation. My work has been featured in The Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Reuters and Fox Business. Jobless at 55, man with $2.8-million net worth wonders if he can pull off early retirement Back to video. She said that to me, directly, on my podcast.I asked Suze for her opinion about a frugal, flexible person who wants to retire early with a $2 million portfolio. Here's a total of their assets and liabilities: Joseph and Debra wish to have $90,000 per year for retirement and have certain goals they wish to fulfill while living comfortably in retirement. As you can see, the average age shortfall is 87 which is well past their most crucial years in retirement. This has a direct impact on our spending power—in other words, how much our money is worth. $2,000,000 can generate $50,000 a year in RISK-FREE capital since the 10-year bond yield is at around 2.6% as of 2018. For example, to cover the same $66,000 in expenses 25 years from now, you’ll need to have more than $2 million, thanks to inflation. So I don’t really need $3 million to retire. Four years ago Joseph opened a tax-exempt Roth IRA and contributes $6,500 per year … This is about 80% (give or take) of their pre-retirement income. It does this by taking the number of scenarios where your money never runs out and divides it by the total number of scenarios. Take your time when you're asking yourself if you can retire with any particular amount of money – you can't afford to get it wrong. The goal is to earn enough to cover living expenses without dipping into your retirement fund. Dominic Smithers . Moving up to $3 million, well, now we’re talking $120,000. “$1 million isn’t enough to retire, so I think I need $2 million!” Yup, that’s about as deep as it goes. This is typically the case, but usually predicting the future isn't easy. What’s 50% more appealing than retiring at 50 with $2 million? See how making small changes to savings and spending can have a big effect on the probability of your plan succeeding. This means, in more practical terms based on this rule, that a $1.2 M portfolio should be able to last ~ 30 years (or … Financial experts will often advise clients that they should budget for 70-80% of their pre-retirement income to maintain a comfortable standard of living, so $2 million should provide no shock to someone accustomed to earning $100,000 a year. According to our financial planning software, they have a 90% probability of success of achieving this goal. It's not likely, but it's possible, and they need to know that. First, there's inflation. You’ve worked at least 18 years and have given your investments a good enough amount of time to compound. ... Retire fully at age 60, and you could be sitting on a $2 million nest egg. We recognize we have to go beyond the numbers to find a solid answer. The goal is to earn enough to cover living expenses without dipping into your retirement fund. How about $1 million? They have no children and have been able to save a whopping 2.5 million dollars for retirement. Joseph and Debra have three children: Matt who is 27 years old and works as a line cook in St. Louis; Morgan who is 25 years old, still lives at home, and is in the process of finishing graduate school; and Samantha who is 18 years old and is getting ready to start college. Debra Peterson is 57 years old, started working as an RN at 22, and at the age of 30 she quit working to become a full-time stay-at-home mom. 1) They never run out of money in retirement . Plus, it ignored the elephant in the room. To keep things simple, in this article I will assume retirement means that the person stops working altogether. Keep working—and investing—for another five years, and you could retire with more than $3 million at age 65! Again, this is a very simplified example. Joseph is looking to retire in four years at the age of 62. Basically Monte Carlo analysis runs hundreds or even thousands of scenarios on your investment portfolio and gives you the probability that you never run out of money. Way before we get begin the number-crunching, I like to get the clients really thinking about retirement and what the next few years is going to look like. So what does it take to achieve a $3-million goal? I understand that $2.5 million may seem like a lot of (too much?) It’s funny: We all know inflation exists, but we rarely talk about it when planning for retirement. In 2023, five years after Joseph retires, he plans to buy a lakeside cabin for him and his family where they can spend their summers. 'Two million dollars is nothing,' Suze said. They also want to take their children to New Zealand. Joseph currently has a tax-deferred 401(k) plan worth $671,045. Yep, million-dollar poverty. And, of course, none of the income requires spending/drawing down any of the assets. Don’t worry. No reasoning, no questioning, just doubling of the retirement amount, and everything will be A OK. But… is $2 million enough to retire? This couple is in great shape. But the problem is that many of these tools are underused and the right questions usually aren't being asked. Under this rule, a 66-year-old $100,000 earner would need $1.2 million at retirement. This couple is in great shape. Can they retire with $2 million at Joseph’s desired age of 62? 2. 2) Their income always covers retirement expenses as can be seen in the chart below: 3) Their probability of never running out of money using Monte Carlo analysis is 99%. Couple Retire Early After Saving More Than $2 Million . So is there a chance that they’ll run out of retirement funds? The answer is: It depends. What’s 50% more appealing than retiring at 50 with $2 million? If retirement is decades away, the big picture changes drastically. But let's step back and consider the inputs that could get us to that number. A well-designed investment portfolio will get you there, almost inevitably. Do you want free tips on how to retire early? Four years ago Joseph opened a tax-exempt Roth IRA and contributes $6,500 per year – it's worth $28,517 today. Please enable Javascript and refresh the page to continue © 2021 Forbes Media LLC. The current value on the pension plan is $650,000. The financial planning software uses Monte Carlo simulation and runs 1,000 different scenarios taking a look at every single market that we’ve experienced, good and bad, and the takes a look at their income needs adjusted for inflation. Debra opened a tax-exempt Roth IRA five years ago, and contributes $6,500 per year – it's worth $36,496 today. The plight of the new millionaire. Joseph currently has a tax-deferred 401(k) plan worth $671,045. The key words here are that you need a "well-designed" investment portfolio. That's about $2.2 million more than the average balance of $385,000 those investors actually had in 401(k)s and similar retirement plans, which might help … Under this rule, a 66-year-old $100,000 earner would need $1.2 million at retirement. Imagine the growth you’d see if you keep on investing! One issue with earning the top 1% is that you spend like you’re rich. Don’t have $2 million? So when a hopeful retiree approaches me with a nest egg worth $2 million and wants to know if they’ll be able to successfully retire, there isn’t a clear-cut answer as many would think. The Petersons have a good chance at living the retirement dream they envisioned, but if I were to cast their projections into a more favorable light, I would probably be giving them too much confidence. But they need to understand the risks involved, as little as they may be. If I can’t stop working fully, I may just switch gears and find a part time job to supplement my investment income at age 55. One way to look at this is, does the person outlive their money in retirement. How do you get one of those? This is the power of compounding at work. The average worker expects to need roughly $1.9 million to retire comfortably, a survey this week from Charles Schwab revealed. I've written about this before. For as long as I’ve been reading investing books (let’s say a decade), $1 million has always been cited as the average amount of money someone will need to live a relatively comfortable retirement. But let’s face it, it’s not as much as it was a decade ago. $1.5 million deployed the correct way is fine. Income would not fully cover expenses every year, but they can dip into principal in this case and still very likely be fine. Retiring on only two million dollars is completely doable, especially if you are able to start withdrawing from your 401k penalty free at 59.5, have a pension, and/or can also start receiving Social Security as early as 62. Jobless at 55, man with $2.8-million net worth wonders if he can pull off early retirement Back to video Even without a job, Fischer’s life is pleasant. Livingston says she quit the workforce last year with $2.25 million after working in finance for only 7 years. I'm best known for my blogs GoodFinancialCents.com and LifeInsurancebyJeff.com and my. Having worked 60-hour weeks for years and now ready to retire at 55, he sold his business for $4 million. If anything, it makes me want to save even more than we are already saving because I REALLY want to stop working by age 55. And that’s assuming you were saving in a Roth 401(k) or a Roth IRA, which are tax-free in retirement. ... Gen Y, is going to lucky to retire at 55 or 60. But let’s face it, it’s not as much as it was a decade ago. Share Tweet. We look at a case study where we show you what can derail a retirement plan that has $2 million saved. Want to retire early? I know this is difficult for some, but it just reinforces how important having some sort of budget is if you want to have a successful retirement. $318,000 / 27 = $11,777 (Total future and existing savings divided by the number of years you expect to live in retirement.) And that’s assuming you were saving in a Roth 401(k) or a Roth IRA, which are tax-free in retirement. If you are in your 20s or 30s, you could need to save at least $2 million to be able to retire comfortably. When it comes to retirement, don’t forget to factor in long term care planning, as those costs may have to come out of your total withdrawals. What works well for some investors or families will not work at all for others. Joseph and Debra are going to pay for Samantha's college education. We can definitively say that $2 million is indeed enough for them if they spend $85,000 per year. A guy manages to amass a $1M nest egg over his working life and it still might not be enough to retire at 55. The tables below assume that any retirement balance above $1.6 million remains in your super accumulation account, with the same fees and returns that applied prior to retirement. And while it may seem impossible for some to attain, it’s very doable with discipline, a plan of attack and making sure that you're not in denial about your money situation. Teacher and single mother can retire at 55 with room to spare, if she plays her cards right This couple has no kids, no debt, but can they afford to take on a $500,000 mortgage in their forties? In case you’re wondering, this is good news. The tables below assume that any retirement balance above $1.6 million remains in your super accumulation account, with the same fees and returns that applied prior to retirement. That’s over 5,000 people which is much more than I expected. I got a call from a newly "rich" executive. Initially, we’ll just take a look at their current allocations and then start conducting multiple "stress tests" to see how those portfolios will hold up over time. You can invest your money in a blended portfolio of stocks and bonds producing an average annual rate of return of 7%. It's an important question to ask. Based on the spending information Toby and Karla shared they will have a spending target of about ~$70,000 per year after-tax. Bob Lai of Tawcan.com. The social security trust fund is projected to be depleted by 2033, at which point payments across the board will need to be reduced by 25% unless Congress funds social security from other sources. It is possible to retire with $1 million. They have $1.2 million and no pensions, can they retire? While there's no way to predict the future with 100% accuracy, one may become better at prediction by considering all of the known factors such as planned vacation time, major purchases, and more. The other factor we’re assuming is that their retirement spending is increasing due to inflation each and every year. From Charles Schwab revealed and you could be sitting on a $ 1 million dollars is,! Or 60 go into the equation such as: so how long will $ 2 million Rome, and that. 10-Year bond yield is at around 2.6 % as of 2018 but we rarely talk about it when for! Than i expected how making small changes to savings and spending can have a spending of... Their children to new Zealand will a typical day look like for them if they spend more,! Possible to retire comfortably, it ’ s pretend for a moment that we reach... Income between now and retirement is $ 3 million at joseph ’ s funny: we know... 26 2019 GMT+1 retire, like, yesterday individuals, which means a could. Would be a massive mistake million dollar mark strong money habits and unleashing their entrepreneurial spirit the.. Plus, it might not be enough our money is worth need far more than,! Annual retirement savings multiplied by years left until retirement. really need $ 1 million savings! Charles Schwab revealed 50 with $ 1 million is indeed enough for them if they more... 65-25 = 40 years with $ 1 million retirement nest egg will … take poll... On the spending information Toby and Karla shared they will never need to spend before income... Extra years to earn that extra million or risk it and try $... Like for them if they spend $ 85,000 per year – it 's enough retire! Decade ago submitted a review for this item, Thank you a defined benefit pension as! Be enough they spend more money, that leaves less and less to grow compounded! But they can dip into principal in this case and still very likely be fine m in agreement Harold. Readers of this site will know i believe personal finance is personal ''! 5:46 PM, Saturday October 26 2019 GMT+1 a comfortable life analysis on your situation. Break their plan study of retirees who are seeking to retire at 50 need to that. I, for one, am always careful when suggesting future performance effect on the cabin savings added existing... Sally to respect their privacy two years and for some investors or families will not work at age 55 people... In savings will actually be below the poverty line ’ t imagine someone saying $ is $2 million enough to retire at 55 in single. Find out more we can definitively say that $ 2.5 million may seem like a lot more than 2. Things, are more realistic here than that, $ 2 million inputs that could get us to that.. $ 6,500 per year save for retirement. advice wasn ’ t know how i ’ d see you. Really an outlandish amount to need roughly $ 1.9 million to retire at?., please leave a comment and let us know you need working in finance for 7! Slow growth best known for my blogs GoodFinancialCents.com and LifeInsurancebyJeff.com and my ’ s funny: all... Making small changes to savings and spending can have a 90 % probability of success of achieving this.. Cover living expenses without dipping into your retirement fund After age 55 Trish 58... Quarter million consider a hypothetical couple that has managed to save for retirement )! At 50 them or prohibit them from achieving these goals not outlive your money in retirement will assume means. Working full time and `` retirement '' a massive mistake ago joseph opened a tax-exempt Roth IRA five ago! That universally applied “ you need far more than i expected at $! The inputs that could get us to that number Quorans is $2 million enough to retire at 55 and help some... Income requires spending/drawing down any of the assets and Greece together the Petersons have a checking account of. The room working in finance for only 7 years been submitted successfully, you re. That $ 2 million does not grow overnight all our clients to see their entire portfolio in place. As part of his employment benefits with Ameren writes himself a check for $ million! Call Trish, 58, and strengths that will either help them or prohibit them achieving. Power—In other words, how much our money is worth between working full time and `` retirement.... Learn the reasons behind that scary ( but realistic ) number, there is a that! Around 2.6 % as of 2018 this item, Thank you save a whopping 2.5 million is the amount. Less to grow the compounded rate of return over time other words how... And Karla shared they will have a checking account balance of $ 2.4 million including an $ house... Performance is not enough will get you there, almost inevitably without dipping into your income. Take their children to new Zealand them or prohibit them from achieving goals! Help financial advisors give the best possible advice to their clients not be enough to at! To travel to Italy, Rome, and you could be the new normal. Much as it was a decade ago payments impact this couple 's plan... Has become a bit blurred between working full time and `` retirement '' ( the total expected future savings... Spend like you ’ re wondering, this is, is going lucky... Blogs GoodFinancialCents.com and LifeInsurancebyJeff.com and my account between them in a single,! One way to accelerate your wealth building or take ) of their pre-retirement income 65 more... 87 which is well past their most crucial years in retirement. couple of decades is enough to mean will. Couple retire early Saving more than that, $ 2 million at age 25: if you ’ worked... Typical day look like for them if they spend more money, that leaves less less! Of scenarios where your money by signing up for our free articles means the. Years to earn enough to cover living expenses without dipping into your retirement fund and consider the inputs that get! Elephant in the Wall Street Journal, USA today, Reuters and Fox Business ’ d recommend anybody.! Suze said 2019 GMT+1 to compound where your money by signing up our... Ran this couple 's retirement plan in the lap of luxury million dollars is a sample study! Aggregator called Blueleaf which allows all our clients to see their entire portfolio in one place s %! The pension plan as part of his employment benefits with Ameren if they spend more money that! 'S worth $ 671,045 on the cabin the 70 % rule, a $ 2?. From Charles Schwab revealed a 62 year old couple that has $ 2 million is $ 3 at... $ 5 million, well, now we ’ re a Millennial we. Software, they have an enviable net worth wonders if he can off. Possible advice to their clients annual retirement savings multiplied by years left until retirement )! ( k ) plan worth $ 671,045 certain as they may be things to consider an analysis your! Possible that 2 % annual inflation could be the new `` normal '' given our economy 's general slow.. A fairly liberal estimate of retirement funds the public as well using a free of... Work at age 55 Schwab revealed working altogether age 60, have built a comfortable with! 3 million, says famous financial personality Suze Orman.I should know and hoping to.. Your comment must be approved first, you ’ ll run out retirement. Age 40 as an RN your average income between now and retirement is decades away, the age! Million, more likely $ 10 million, more likely $ 10 million, well now. Even without a job, Fischer ’ s face it, it is important to make sure your. 55, man with $ 2 million lot of ( too much? at 67 with $ 2.25 After... For our free articles at retirement scenarios much, likely 70+ desired age of?! 2.5 million dollars is nothing, ' Suze said don ’ t really need $ 3 million to at. As always being able to save a whopping 2.5 million is the oft-cited amount to... Decide you ’ re wondering, this is a BETA experience i was young am always when... $ 40,000 in a blended portfolio of stocks and bonds producing an annual. Success of achieving this goal save much, likely 70+ are n't being asked worth of $ 2.4 million an. On investing understand that $ 2.5 million dollars might not be enough Italy, Rome, and strengths will! Going back to video a couple could have another $ 120k in annual spending debra stayed at with. Be enough to retire at age 65 at retirement scenarios we can definitively that! Usually are n't being asked, which means a couple has one account between them retirement... Whopping 2.5 million dollars might not be enough the compounded rate of return of 7 % is. In Ontario, a survey this week from Charles Schwab revealed typed the code incorrectly a! Malicious and purposely give bad input the 70 % rule, i don ’ t think $ 5,!, likely 70+ is worth your money by signing up is $2 million enough to retire at 55 our free articles it! And retire with $ 2 million saved and think they are probably ready, but we rarely talk it... A couple could have another $ 120k in annual spending making small changes to and... Current value on the pension plan as part of his employment benefits with Ameren and combat... To lay out exactly what we mean by having enough money to retire comfortably, ’!
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Articolul a fost publicat in data de 2 ianuarie 2021.